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All content © 2002-2005 Anne Zook

October 09, 2008
270 To Win

From the site 270towin, an Electoral Vote Tracker, the likely results of November 4th's vote:

Who still needs how many electoral votes, to win?

270towin_1.jpg


What chance does McCain have?

270towin_2.jpg

Of course, sites like this fail to take many things into account, not the least of which is the potential for another Ohio or Florida. Still, barring unforseen and catastropic events? McCain's goose is very cooked.

To be honest, I find myself very much afraid of what the McCain campaign might do between now and November 4.

Posted by AnneZook at 12:54 PM


Comments

Vote stealing usually only works when the vote is close: if Obama manages to pull out a landslide -- and the chances of that are looking better and better -- even Ohio and Florida wouldn't matter. The public's tolerance for vote-counting conflicts has to be pretty low: if McCain tries to pull a Bush, the backlash will make his head spin.

Posted by: Ahistoricality at October 10, 2008 07:15 AM

God, is it over yet?

*lies down with cold compression on forehead*

Posted by: Lab Kat at October 10, 2008 07:55 AM

That's true, ahistoricality, but there are plenty of states where the vote is/could be close enough for a little vote suppression to effective.

I doubt that McCain can win with that strategy, but there's more at stake than the Presidency. At the least, the Republicans can prevent just what you suggested--a landslide. I'd imagine a lot of the free-market, small-government types would be willing to shed blood at this point to prevent Dems gaining a filibuster-proof majority in Congress.

Posted by: Anne at October 10, 2008 09:00 AM

I'm sorry, Lab Kat. *offers a fresh cold compress* It will be over soon!

Posted by: Anne at October 10, 2008 09:00 AM

The site I was referring to in my post (you commented on) was referred to in at the bottom. I did not use the name and I don't know which blog you were referring to in your comment.

And, that all sounds SO confusing.

Posted by: Lab Kat at October 10, 2008 10:55 AM

I checked the link and got the name of the site from there. :)

Posted by: Anne at October 10, 2008 02:27 PM